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Aaron Rodgers

TNF preview – Expect QB fireworks

Green Bay at Seattle

Spread: Seahawks -2.5

When Green Bay Has The Ball:

Although only two teams call a higher percentage of pass plays, the Packers might start to lean more on the run with the emergence of Aaron Jones as Green Bay’s lead back. Jones will not keep up the gaudy yards per rush numbers, but his touches continue to increase and it is clear that Green Bay needs to feature him more. Meanwhile, Seattle has allowed an awful lot of production on the ground at home and the Seahawks are susceptible to giving up long runs, something Jones excels at creating on his own. We could see quite a few chunk runs from Jones in this contest and possibly a slightly expanded role in the short-passing game.

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Fantasy Fact or Fiction – Aaron Rodgers Has New Toy

Below are several fantasy players whose production stuck out in Week 9 in either a positive or negative manner. Let’s examine if that trend will keep up or if it was just a blip on the radar.

Tevin Coleman

Week 9 Stat Line: 13 Carries For 88 Rushing Yards, 5 Receptions For 68 Yards And 2 Touchdowns

Fact or Fiction? Fact

Coleman is a linear athlete that runs somewhat high and doesn’t show great vision, but his acceleration and long speed is rare and Coleman is an excellent receiver. The Falcons haven’t run the ball well this year, but if Coleman remains a constant in this excellent passing game, his fantasy value is obvious. Matt Ryan went Coleman’s way seven times on Sunday, but we do need to realize that the most targets Coleman saw in any other game this year was just four, so there is some risk here.

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  • Injury analysis and how it will impact players on the field (and in your lineup)
  • Contract breakdowns from people who negotiated them
  • And of course, the Hall of Famer, John Clayton

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Dr Chao Friday – Big-Time QBs Banged Up, but Should Play

A look at key injuries pertaining to your fantasy needs for Week 9:

QB

Cam Newton’s shoulder is fine and should be no issue.

Aaron Rodgers is essentially 100% and may even lose the brace.

Ben Roethlisberger fractured and index finger but since it is on his non-throwing hand, it should be a minimal to non-issue.

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  • Fantasy and gambling information you can use from genuine experts
  • Injury analysis and how it will impact players on the field (and in your lineup)
  • Contract breakdowns from people who negotiated them
  • And of course, the Hall of Famer, John Clayton

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Dr. Chao Friday – Cam Newton Should be All Good

his week in fantasy may be trickier than usual as some of the key questionable players like Rob Gronkowski and LeSean McCoy don’t play until Monday night. Here are my thoughts on player health and effectiveness for Week Eight

QB

Cam Newton was limited this week for his right throwing shoulder.

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  • Contract breakdowns from people who negotiated them
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Old School QBs like Brady, Brees and Rodgers are Year’s Best Betting Plays

Perhaps the most hidden trend of the 2018 season is how the NFL still has an old-school theme.

By old school, I’m talking about the older quarterbacks. Scoring is up to 48.3 combined points per game, highest ever and 3.9 points a game more than last year. Bright coaches such as Sean McVay, Andy Reid and Doug Pederson draw much of the credit. They use run-pass-options, Jet sweeps and tightly run crossing patterns to destroy defenses.

But the old-school quarterbacks from the previous decades are playing at the highest level and shattering records in their own rights. Ten starting quarterbacks remain from the millennial beginning of the decade. Eight of those quarterbacks are averaging 28.25 points a game.

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  • Injury analysis and how it will impact players on the field (and in your lineup)
  • Contract breakdowns from people who negotiated them
  • And of course, the Hall of Famer, John Clayton

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MNF Preview – Go Big on Aaron Rodgers and Packers

San Francisco at Green Bay

Spread: Packers -9.5

When Green Bay Has The Ball:

San Francisco’s pass defense is really struggling on the backend and their edge pass-rush is somewhat nonexistent. That sounds like a rather terrible formula against a quickly recovering Aaron Rodgers on the road in Green Bay … and it absolutely is.

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  • Fantasy and gambling information you can use from genuine experts
  • Injury analysis and how it will impact players on the field (and in your lineup)
  • Contract breakdowns from people who negotiated them
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Dr. Chao Fantasy Friday – Should You Worry About Ryan Tannehill

Here are my Week 6 injury thoughts going into the weekend. I am utilizing my NFL team physician experience and analysis of video and available information to make an informed opinion on whether key players will play and how effective they might be. Note, players already ruled out earlier in the week (like Leonard Fournette) will not be discussed here:

QB 

Aaron Rodgers seemed to be re-injure his left knee MCL in the first quarter of last week’s game, but finished the game. He may be in a bigger brace again and back to exclusively shotgun/pistol but there is no doubt that he will play. And he should be 100% in November.

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  • Fantasy and gambling information you can use from genuine experts
  • Injury analysis and how it will impact players on the field (and in your lineup)
  • Contract breakdowns from people who negotiated them
  • And of course, the Hall of Famer, John Clayton

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Some Great Quarterbacks Like Matt Ryan Are Suffering From an Alarming Trend

The strange start to the 2018 season is turning into a test to see how much top quarterbacks can fix troubled teams.

NFC quarterbacks have really been challenged. Only five NFC teams have winning records. The Atlanta Falcons are in a deep hole with their 1-4 start. A top seven-or-eight quarterback can usually count on being on at least a nine-win team. Rarely does a top-level quarterback have a losing season.

Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Andrew Luck (when he’s healthy), Russell Wilson and Ben Roethlisberger have never endured a losing season. But in certain seasons, even the great quarterbacks can’t overcome teams with two main problems _ bad defenses and the lack of a running game.

I went back to 2008 to study the top quarterbacks. The only top quarterbacks who couldn’t get their teams to .500 or better were Matt Ryan, Drew Brees and Cam Newton. Peyton Manning once told me that it’s hard for quarterback playing on teams that give up 27 or more points a game.

 

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  • Injury analysis and how it will impact players on the field (and in your lineup)
  • Contract breakdowns from people who negotiated them
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Dr. Chao Fantasy Friday: Aaron Rodgers Making Process

Each week after the final practice reports are issued and each injured player’s game status is announced, I will detail my final thoughts before Sunday on what to expect from each player.

After all, QUESTIONABLE means different things to different teams. Last year the Buccaneers lead the league with 96% or the questionable players being active and the Steelers trailed all teams with only 29% of their questionables ultimately suiting up.  This is a wide difference and probable being removed two years ago, a report of “knee questionable” doesn’t really tell us if a player will play or be effective. That is what we will try to delineate here for fans, fantasy players and gamblers.

 

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  • And of course, the Hall of Famer, John Clayton

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Monday Morning MD — About These QB Injuries

What is with all the quarterback injuries?

Despite all of the rules changes and increased enforcement, quarterback injuries still dominate the news. Can’t use the helmet, can’t hit the QB in head, can’t hit him low, can’t land on him, can’t drive him to the ground, can’t lift him off his legs. And yet the injuries still happen.

Jimmy Garoppolo tore his ACL, Aaron Rodgers injured his knee, Marcus Mariota hurt his elbow all in the first few weeks this season. Last year Carson Wentz and DeShaun Watson tore their ACLs, Rodgers broke his collarbone (and that led to a new rule). Two years ago, both Derek Carr and Mariota broke their ankles. Tony Romo’s career literally ended because of four different injuries. And this doesn’t even mention the myriad injuries to Ben Rothlisberger, Cam Newton and Russell Wilson.

How is it that all of these athletic quarterbacks that have the mobility to outrun or avoid the rush have been hurt, yet two of the least mobile QBs Eli Manning and Philip Rivers have remained unhurt and not missed games?

The many rules to protect the QB only do so when in the pocket. As soon as the QB becomes a runner, the protections go away. As QBs look to extend plays, the injury risk becomes higher. Manning and Rivers know their limitations and tend to be traditional pocket QBs who throw the ball away when their internal clock is up rather than always looking to extend. And the rules protect these types of players.

Garoppolo’s season was ended tearing his ACL trying to gain extra yardage after already getting the first down. He received criticism on why he just didn’t just step out of bounds and take advantage of the rules that would prevent him from being hit. This is what Peyton Manning did and what his little brother does. Is it really the training methods and avocado ice cream that keeps Tom Brady healthy or is it his pocket awareness and willingness to get rid of the ball that keep him off the injury reports? Would Romo not be broadcasting but playing if he choose to throw the ball away on four occasions when he was hurt extending plays resulting in two different spine fractures and twice fracturing his collarbone?

Recently, Rodgers on an already injured left knee tweaked his right hamstring when he choose to scramble for positive yardage while already limping. Mariota was hit and injured his elbow/ulnar nerve on an RPO play carrying out a ball fake making him a target. All of the previous QBs mentioned from Wentz to Rodgers were hurt running or extending plays.

In the end, if the QB runs routinely as part of the offense, it is a recipe for eventual injury. If you run only when you have to like the older traditional signal callers, you lessen that risk.

The new generation is here with the athletic quarterback. High schools select them that way and no longer choose the statue with a strong arm. Colleges train them that way with non-traditional NFL offenses that involve risk to the man under center (and in most cases not even under center anymore). These QBs can have success freelancing and taking chances in college, but at the next level, every defender (including the defensive lineman) is as fast or faster, not to mention bigger.

I can’t help but think the way sports is covered affects the behavior as well. Every athlete is aware of ESPN’s Top Ten plays. I call this the SportsCenter effect. In baseball, no more running under the ball to wait to make a two-handed catch. Instead outfielders want “diver’s” for web gems as that is what makes the highlight reels. In basketball, the art of the mid-range jumper is lost as replays only focus on dunks and three-pointers. In football, the attention is on the wide receiver circus catch, unless the QB makes like Houdini before completing the pass.

I am not the “get off my lawn” guy complaining about anything new. My point is only to say the game has changed and the rules only protect the old school QB.

The age of the run/pass athletic QBs are here. And no amount of rule changes can protect them if they don’t protect themselves.

Each Monday, Dr. David Chao will recap the weekend’s injuries and what to expect. As a practicing orthopedic surgeon specializing in sports medicine expert, serving as the SiriusXM Sports Medical Analyst and also the medical analyst for the San Diego Union-Tribune/Los Angeles Times, the ProFootballDoc brings his almost two decades of experience as a NFL head team physician to the readers.

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